Elections 2009: State perspective

Results are out about 5 days back. Maharashtra scores: Cong: 17, NCP: 8, BJP, 9, Sena: 11, MNS: 0

but it is not tht simple. If we consider the state assembly elections which are just around the corner, I guess this was just the trailer. And real drama is yet to begin.

The much talked MNS factor may be the tip of ice berg. MNS had candidates in 11 constituencies, of which they managed to be cause of defeat in 6 seat. What I mean by cause of defeat is MNS votes + NDA votes > UPA votes. The closest among these was Noerth-East Mumbai seat where NCP won by 3k votes (NCP: 2.13 lacs, BJP: 2.10 lacs, MNS: 1.94 lacs).

But real surprise came from South Mumbai. MNS secured 2nd number of votes against Deora. Although margin was so big that Sena + MNS were faling short of Deora's total, but still it is a great rsult for 3 yr old party. And which was the best result for them? Nashik: NCP 2.39 lacs, MNS: 2.17 lacs, Sena: 1.58 lacs.

These are mere facts. Even if Sena supremos do not agree to this, but MNS factor has hit NDA badly.

But, this is just one side of story. Consider from where these MNS votes hav come! What were marketing points for MNS? 1. Marathi Manus 2. Charisma of Raj Thakrey. Has MNS managed this success (or rathwer success in defeat) on basis of these two points alone? Are the votes all diverted from Sena's "marathi manus" backbone? If we consider this to be true, then UPA, better u do ur math again. Why is this marathi manus not ready to come to you? If Raj Thakrey would have been with Sena then current UPA- NDA score of 25-20 would have dramatically changed to 18 - 27. (May be that is the reason why Joshi Sir, Munde and Gadkari hinted about joining hands with MNS.) And the above said assumption also tells that Marathi manus has voted in numbers in this election.

If we consider it was not marathi manus who votes for MNS then??? Then it is pure anti-incumbency against current set of parties. And tht includes Sena, BJP as well as Congi and NCP. So even tht is not good sign for UPA at state level.

So now u agree what I mean by "this is just trailer" ?! Picture to abhi baki hai mere dost.

What will happen in next few months noone knows. Right now MNS has taken stand to be equidistant from all. Will that stand be same for state assembly elections? Will supremos be able to do something to fix up whatever has gone wrong? Is Lotus going to suit more on Bow and Arrow or on Engine? And what about Hand and Clock? Will they be together? Current math will force them to be together, but will that be sufficient?

Plenty of questions and noone knows the answers. Definitely these questions are out of syllabus for common man. What I will do is will sit back and wait and watch the great political drama. Stage is state for multi-star 288 points game. Lets see who wins how many points!!